UK adviser on infectious diseases told to “correct” his views after criticizing government’s “implausible” COVID-19 models

Mark Woolhouse, University of Edinburgh senior epidemiologist and longtime government adviser on infectious diseases, revealed that he was advised to “correct” his comments after he spoke about “implausible” Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) models.

Woolhouse shared that there was fallout from his reaction to a September 2020 presentation by U.K. Chief Scientific Adviser (CSA) Sir Patrick Vallance.

According to the presentation, the United Kingdom was slated to see at least 50,000 COVID-19 cases per day by mid-October.

But Woolhouse thought the projection was wrong, especially since it didn’t have any reason to “expect the epidemic to accelerate suddenly.” He added that if the projection had been extended for another week, there would have been 100,000 cases per day.

Within the next month, cases would have skyrocketed to half a million per day. He added that an exponential projection will give you any number you wanted “if you run it for long enough.”

Woolhouse was worried that the “implausible” projection would damage the experts’ credibility so he quickly posted what he thought was a reassuring comment through the Science Media Center. In his post, he said that “it was highly unlikely that the U.K. would see so many reported cases per day by mid-October.”

However, his post had the opposite effect. (Related: Hospitals intentionally inflating COVID cases to collect financial incentives, whistleblower says.)

Woolhouse said he received many emails after he posted and that he was asked to “correct” his comments. But since the invitation was sent to him by messenger, he’s not sure where in the system it originated.


Several weeks later, he was asked to provide evidence to a House of Commons Select Committee. The event then produced more emails over an October weekend from two senior government scientists who were worried that Woolhouse “might criticize the CSA’s graph before the MPs.”

When asked where the message telling him to “correct his views” came from, Woodhouse answered that he was unable to pinpoint the source. However, he insists that it didn’t come from a random person. Woolhouse added that it wasn’t his views that needed correcting but the projections.

Errors in COVID modeling repeated within the same month

On October 31, 2020, prior to the U.K.’s second lockdown, the government presented another chart predicting 4,000 deaths a day.

Again, Woolhouse was dismayed because he had already advised that the data presented was inaccurate on the day it was shown and that the second wave of infections was starting to abate.

The errors in COVID modeling identified by Woolhouse include fixation on the “R” (reproduction) number. He explained that the R number only indicates infections, not the numbers of hospitalizations and deaths, which is important to the National Health Service (NHS) and the government.

The Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modeling, which Woolhouse is a member of, uses “ensemble modeling” or different teams to calculate their own scenarios. No one asked Woolhouse and his colleagues to “model alternatives to lockdown” and that the government often operated based on worst-case scenarios without considering how behavioral changes would affect outcomes.

Woolhouse and his colleagues acknowledged that they created a “monster.” Experts like him regret the fact that the U.K.’s strategy for dealing with coronavirus has harmed children and young adults in the country.

Because of the government’s actions, young citizens were deprived of “their education, jobs and normal existence. Children and young adults in the U.K. will also face poorer future prospects. Woolhouse also believes that it is “morally wrong” for young U.K. citizens to “inherit a record-breaking mountain of public debt.”

He advised that there should have been more focus on the elderly as they were vulnerable to coronavirus infections and that this was proven early in the pandemic.

At the height of the pandemic, Woolhouse believes the government should have taken measures to protect the vulnerable. Since then, research has been done on such an approach and it could have been made to work, concluded Woolhouse.

Lockdowns did more harm than good across the globe

Throughout the western world, data suggests that lockdowns were ineffective at saving lives.

In March 2021, Associated Press admitted that California and Florida experienced almost similar outcomes in COVID-19 case rates even though California imposed some of the most draconian lockdown measures in the country while Florida remained mostly open.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that both California and Florida have had a COVID-19 case rate of around 8,900 per 100,000 residents since the pandemic began. The two states also rank in the middle among states for COVID-19 death rates, with Florida 27th and California 28th.

Additionally, the mortality gulf between Connecticut and South Dakota was similarly small even though both states had vastly different approaches to lockdowns.

Visit for news related to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Watch the video below to learn more about the hospitalization numbers scam exposed by Grant Stinchfield of Newsmax.


This video is from The New American channel on

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